Thursday, May 18, 2017

The Phillips Curve

SRPC

  • There is a trade off between inflation and unemployment
  • Inverse relationship one increase others decrease
  • Since wages are sticky inflation changes, moves the SRPC. (Short run Phillips curve)
  • If inflation persist and the expected inflation rate increase then the entire SRPC moves upward
  • Stagflation - unemployment and inflation spontaneously rise
  • Supply shocks - rapid and significant increase in resource cost. Cost SRAS curve to shift
  • If inflation expectations drop due to new tech or efficiency then the SRPC moves down
LRPC

  • Occurs at the natural rate of unemployment. It is represented by a vertical line. There is no trade off between unemployment and long run.
  • Because the economy produces at the full employment output level
  • If the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) changes the LRPC moves
NRU

  • 3 types of unemployment
    • Frictional
    • Structional
    • Seasonal
LRPC

  • Increase in Un will shift LRPC to the right 
  • Decrease in Un will shift LRPC tot he left
  • Misery Index - combination of inflation and unemployment in any given year. Single diget misery is good.

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